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Part 2

The first round did reveal a lot of things.  Unfortunately, I never saw COMPLETE BNL nor Crown Point Sectional results.  This may have hurt some of those athletes in there, and could cause some changes in next week's final edition of State Meet Previews.

Enjoy.

4x800

I noted that I switched this prediction up about 10 times before posting the first one.  Well, now it is at least 11 times, as I am putting Snider as the team to beat.  They ran 7:55 without Ethan Wappes, and Dutton “only” splitting 1:57.  That makes them very dangerous, and very capable of going sub 7:50.  Lawrence Central will still be in the mix, and other teams have some big question marks.

Will Carmel stack the 4x8?  They can run a good time without everybody, but a great time will require full power.  Also, a lot of teams may have sat back waiting for a bigger race.  While I am not able to attend all of the regionals, I do not know who was doing what.  Westfield has great potential, which is why I keep them in the mix, and Chesterton typically peaks well, and may do so again at the state meet.  This race will really require a big anchor leg from all teams in order to medal I feel, as a lot of these teams are nothing but sub 2 guys, with at least a 1:56 guy anchoring. 

Some teams not in the predictions that are still in the mix (plus others):  North Central (went 7:58), Brown County (8:00), South Bend Adams (8:03), Columbus North (will they stack it?), Franklin Central… and so on.

Prediction:

  1.  Fort Wayne Snider – 7:55 without Wappes

  2. Lawrence Central – 7:54

  3. Pendleton Heights – first in sectional in 7:56… can hendershot do it?

  4. Lawrence North – goes 8:08, with 5th being 8:11.  Resting?

  5. Carmel – gets 2nd with 7:57.  The question is if they will truly stack this relay

  6. Ben Davis – won in an easy 8:11

  7. Westfield – qualified in 8:03, got 4th.  Resting?

  8. Chesterton

  9. Hamilton Southeastern

100

More changes in this event, as I am switching back to mid-season favorite, Quinton Jones (Harding).  He was able to win relatively easily in his races, and perhaps more importantly was that Kendal Frederick (FW Snider) was not able to.  Charles Tharp (FW North Side) was able to edge out Frederick, which gains him some respect but I will wait another week to see him on a bigger stage.  Jerry Wilson (Ben Davis) looked great, but cramped up in the 200 which could hinder his performance.  He is likely going to be fine by next Thursday, but I will keep him where he is for now.  Cordova (Richmind) appears to be coming into form, and many other new faces are about to enter the list but I will wait another week on them.

Others not listed deserving love:  Jake Dixon (Portage, 10.92), Phillip Hobbs (SB Washington, 10.94), Jordan Gater (East Noble, 10.95), Alex Vasile (Valparaiso, 10.96), Anthony Kimmons (10.98), Thomas Brueggemann (Columbus North, 11.00), Khyran Shank (North Central, 11.03), Darnell Harris (Pike, 11.16)

Prediction:

  1. Quinton Jones (Harding) – 10.92 win, 22.79 win over teammate

  2. John Broaden (North Central) – wins with 10.93

  3. Kendal Frederick (FW Snider) – gets 2nd in 11.09, wins 200 with 22.16

  4. Jerry Wilson (Ben Davis) – cramps at meet in 200, but wins in 10.90, 22.69

  5. Jarvis McMillian (Hobart) --- waiting on results (Crown Point)

  6. Leo Cordova (Richmond) – 10.82, easy win, another easy at 22.91

  7. Nick Stoner (Center Grove) – 11.02 2nd to CN, 21.84 win in 200

  8. Charles Tharp (FW North Side) – beats Frederick with 11.06, goes 22.63 for 2nd

  9. Anthony Shelman (Lawrence Central) – 2nd with 10.96, focusing on 100

  10.  

110H

It appears that Shane Mikesky (Zionsville) and Jeremiah Wright (Hamilton Southeastern) will continue pushing each other to the edge throughout the tournament.  This should help keep both of them sharp, and I see no reason that they cannot continue to perform at this high level throughout the remaining rounds of the tournament.  Max Tuttle (Bloomington North) should be dangerous with the essential home-track advantage. 

Others not listed:  Kenyun Byrd (Bloomington North, 14.86), Dominique Fields (Evansville Harrison, 14.91), Bradford Firrie-Davis (FW North Side, runs 14.80 in trials but 15.25 in finals), Ron Posthauer (Fountain Central, 15.00), Elbert Johnson (FW Wayne, 14.78), Garth Powell (Frankton, 14.82), Ray Skamay (Lowell, no results posted yet)

Prediction:

  1.  Shane Mikesky (Zionsville) – 14.31 1st

  2. Jeremiah Wright (Hamilton Southeastern) – 14.32 2nd

  3. Glenn Powell (Lawrence Central) – 1st 14.46

  4. Max Tuttle (Bloomington North) – 14.54 1st

  5. Robert Rose (Ben Davis) – 15.14, easy win

  6. Marcus Safer (Lawrence North) – 2nd 14.74

  7. Jarrod Buchanon (South Bend Clay) – 1st 14.61

  8. Caleb Galoozis (Bloomington South) – 14.66 2nd

  9. Anthony Yoder  (Concord) – 1st 14.73

1600

A few big things were revealed in the 1600 during the sectional round.  The most important, is that many of the “800 guys” are still in it, making it very dangerous.  Both Austin Mudd (Center Grove) and Drew Gambill (Shakamak) ran and won their sectionals in both the 1600 and 800.  I still feel that both will end up opting out of it after the regional and focus on the 800 (I also feel the same way about Lawrence North’s Josh Roche), but this is part of the waiting game to see where all the pieces fall for the state meet.  Scott Vicenzi (Brownsburg) has been rumored to have scratched from the 3200 for regionals, meaning he is now a major factor in this race.  Beyond that, Tyler Byrne is still the favorite, easily winning his sectional.  The Carmel athletes will have to continue running fast every week in order to advance, and then even faster to attempt to win a state title. 

Others not mentioned:  Kent Garrett (Guerin Catholic, 4:18.44) Jace Lowry (Martinsville, wins in 4:27), Jason Hoard (Brebeuf, 4:20), Ethan Wappes (FW Snider, 4:30 but has a lot more speed than that), Javier Vazquez (Frankfort, 4:25), Morgan Welsh (4:26), Cody Marowski (Noblesville, 4:21), Zach Grese (Lawrence North, 4:22), Matt Dorsey (Lawrence Central, 4:22)

Prediction:

  1. Tyler Byrne (North Harrison) – wins in 4:28.80

  2. Dan Porter (Carmel) – wins in 4:16.29

  3. Chris Walden (Carmel) – 2nd in 4:16.46

  4. Scott Vicenzi (Brownsburg)

  5. Jason Crist (Franklin Central) – 1st 4:32.62 (doubled back in 800)

  6. Nolan Fife (Seymour) – 4:42, run to win

  7. Josh Graham (Huntington North) – 1st 4:17

  8. Hale O’Herren (Cathedral) – 3rd in 4:21.36

  9. Alejandro Arroyo (Culver Academies) – wins in 4:20.25

4x100

The top of the list remains the same, but the big story of this was North Central being DQed in the sectional round.  This hurts them in the team race more than anything.  Then, Fort Wayne Snider’s team posted a great time, and will be in the hunt to capture even more points in this event to strengthen their chances at a state title. 

Others not mentioned:  Harding (wins in 43.09), SB Washington (wins in 43.31), FW Northrop (3rd place with 43.10), Indianapolis Arlington (2nd with 42.81, waiting another week to see them repeat this performance), Valparaiso (wins with 43.02)

Prediction:

  1. Lawrence Central – 1st 42.18

  2. Warren Central – 1st 42.15

  3. Ben Davis – 1st 42.16

  4. Pike – 2nd 42.55

  5. Richmond – 1st 43.81 easy

  6. Franklin Central – 2nd 42.72

  7. FW Snider – 1st 42.70

  8. Center Grove – 1st 43.25

  9. FW Concordia – 2nd 42.73

400

This race is still up for grabs, but Pat Feeney (New Palestine) did send a message, that he may be the guy to beat.  However, Dashawn Parnell (SB Washington) also sent a big message down that he will be in contention come Bloomington.  This event has begun taking form, as sprinters reveal their event selection. 

Others to watch:  Paul Person (Perry Meridian, 49.77), Chris Giesting (Batesville, 49.90), Andrew Alexander (Glenn, 49.83) and Tanne Foust (Fairfield, 49.79), Juan Scott (Fort Wayne South, 49.83)

Prediction:

  1. Pat Feeney (New Palestine) – 1st 48.61

  2. Dashawn Parnell (South Bend Washington) – 1st 48.97

  3. Shauntis Lewis (FW Snider) – 1st 49.23

  4. Keenan Johnson (Princeton) – 1st 50.33

  5. Curtis Ivy (Plymouth) – 1st 49.27

  6. Erin Herd (FW Northrop) – 2nd 49.43

  7. Austen Barnes (Homestead) – 1st 49.24

  8. Jeron Brown  (Lawrence Central) – 1st 49.77

  9. Kyle Shwartz (Center Grove) – 1st 50.58

300h

I am hopping off the Logan Hoffman (FW Concordia) bandwagon after just one round in the tournament and being reminded of Max Tuttle (Bloomington North).  I feel that Tuttle’s speed (flat speed, example: 400 meter splits) is going to pull away from the field in Bloomington.  Also, I want to highlight Anthony Yoder (Concord), because I debated on putting him in here the first round and did not, but he proved in the sectional that he belongs in the list of guys with potential to medal.

Others to watch for:  Robert Rose (Ben Davis, 40.07), Elbert Johnson (FW Wayne, 39.70), Joseph Hockett (Heritage Christian, 39.39), Chris Blackburn (Bishop Chatard, 39.61), Matt Raffin (Chesterton, 39.49), and Skyler Coburn (LaPorte, 39.70)

Prediction:

  1.  Max Tuttle (Bloomington North) – 1st 38.08

  2. Jarrod Buchanon (South Bend Clay) – 1st 38.12

  3. Logan Hoffman (FW Concordia) – 1st 39.22

  4. Jeremiah Wright (Hamilton Southeastern) – 1st 38.79

  5. Shane Mikesky (Zionsville) – 2nd 38.81

  6. Anthony Yoder (Concord) – 1st 38.88

  7. Arq’eil Shaw (Warren Central) – 1st 39.15

  8. Nathan Mueller (East Noble) – 1st 39.92

  9. D’Quan Ruth (Ben Davis) – 1st 40.00

800

If you thought you were going to run the 800, and dodge some of the other distance studs in the state, you made the wrong move.  This field is stacked after the sectional round from top to bottom.  Drew Gambill (Shakamak) doubled back after a 1600 victory, to a cake walk victory, which can be helpful to him at championship time.  However, Nathan Hendershot (Pendleton Heights) put out a big time, and has shown that he is ready to win the title this year.  Austin Mudd (Center Grove) has made a believer out of me, although I am not sure if he will continue to do the 1600.  Some of these guys will knock each other out at the regional with a very fast state standard this year.

Others to watch out for:  Jason Crist (Franklin Central, 2:00), Nathan Catt (Center Grove, 1:59), Connor Love (Westfield, 1:59), Cameron Balser (Oak Hill, 1:57), Dan Porter (Carmel, 2:00… but was coming off a 4:16 mile), Kodi Mullins (Homestead, 1:58), Justin Guerra (Elkhart Central, 1:56), Joaeph Dye (Elkhart Memorial, 1:57), Josh Roche (Lawrence North, 1:58), Will Sievern (Evansville Memorial, 1:59), Phil Schroeder (FW Dwenger, 1:59)

Prediction:

  1. Drew Gambill (Shakamak) – 1st 2:01.58

  2. Nathan Hendershet (Pendleton  Heights) – 1st 1:53.48

  3. Austin Mudd (Center Grove) – 1st 1:57.15

  4. Connor Claflin (Lawrence Central) – 1st 1:58.81

  5. Mitch Dutton (FW Snider) – 1st 1:58.21

  6. Tyler Wynn (Goshen) – 1st 1:55.81

  7. Amanuel Medhane (Ben Davis) – 1st 1:56.14

  8. Jason Waterman (Bloomington North) – 1:56

  9. Jordan Gornall (Bloomington South) – 2nd 1:56.35

200

I avoided hopping off the Cordova (Richmond) pick due to avoiding a bias.  But with Qualls’ performance in the 200, and 4x4 (splitting mid 47s), he may be the guy to beat by focusing on this event.  He will have 2 less races to run than other competitors which may be the edge he needs.  Once again, this could cause bias call outs, but that’s alright.

Beyond that, most of the big names are still in besides Jerry Wilson (Ben Davis) scratching out.  Nick Stoner (Center Grove) could be the real deal in this race too, as he has been dominant in both the 200 and 400 splits this year as well.  Cordova will not go down easily though.  Keenan Johnson (Princeton) has now entered the picture as well with his win, and he could be a dangerous contender with his sprint-endurance as well.  He may be dead after the 400, but he would have already qualified into the finals.  I’m not entirely sold on Quinton Jones’ (Harding) chances of competing as well in the 200, as he does the 100.  But I only saw him run in person once.  He will probably go on to prove me wrong, and hang this next to his locker.

Others to watch:  Anthony Kimmons (Indianapolis Arsenal Tech, 22.69), Jordan Gater (East Noble, 22.21), Charles Tharp (FW North Side, 22.63), Quinton Jones (Harding, 22.79), Trevon Carr (Harding, 22.87), Ziyaad Sizer (Arlington, 22.85), Brandon Hogge (Washington Township, ran 22.28 in trials but then ran a 22.94 to place third.  If anybody can explain why, it would be appreciated).  Keith Housley (Warren Central, 22.20), Manny Ashibuogwu (Franklin Central, 22.31)

Prediction:

  1.  Quinntyn Qualls (Pike) – 1st 22.02

  2. Leo Cordova (Richmond) – 1st 22.91

  3. Nick Stoner (Center Grove) – 1st 21.84

  4. Kendal Frederick (FW Snider) – 1st 22.16

  5. Thomas Brueggemann (Columbus North) – 2nd 22.04

  6. Tyrennzie Burgess (Lawrence Central) – only running 200, 22.19 win

  7. John Broaden (North Central) – 2nd 22.23

  8. Dashawn Parnell (SB Washington) – 1st 22.07

  9. Keenan Johnson (Princeton) – 1st 22.23

3200

This is still a great developing story.  Chris Walden (Carmel) is keeping his hand in this race, and ran an impressive 9:17 after running a 4:16.  Based off of no science and only gut feelings, he is worth a 9:05 in a fresh race.  This would put him in contention to win with his speed.  Even off of the double, he is able to place well and possibly take a win.  However, I will keep the crown on Futsum’s head for now, and probably into the state meet.  James Martin (FW Carroll) ran a very impressive 9:12 by himself, which means he is in the running for a state title as always.  Could he finally capture his first?

Many of these guys have yet to reveal their full potential, and David Osborn’s (Chesterton) fitness is still in question. 

Others still in the mix:  Traishaun Johnson (Ben Davis, 9:38), Jace Lowry (Martinsville, 9:26), Carl Smith (Bloomington South, 9:30), Tate Schienbein (Union County, 9:34), Ross Ochs (Huntington North, 9:27), Alejandro Arroyo (Culver Academies, 9:28 after 4:20 mile)

Prediction:

  1. Futsum Zeinasellassie (North Central) – 9:20.55

  2. John Mascari (Terre Haute North) – 1st 9:32 alone

  3. Chris Walden (Carmel) – 1st 9:17 after 4:16 mile

  4. James Martin (FW Carroll) – 1st 9:12 solo

  5. Connor Martin (Westfield) – 2nd 9:18

  6. David Osborn (Chesterton) – 1st 9:33

  7. Tom Ohlman (Carmel) – 3rd 9:21

  8. Tyler Byrne (North Harrison) – 1st 9:44

  9. Gabe Ocasio (Columbus North) – 1st 9:25

4x400

Fort Wayne Northrop has put themselves in the running with a MASSIVE 3:18 run in the section round.  With those recent performances, I am trumping the indy area teams (Pike and Ben Davis) with both of the Fort Wayne schools (Snider and Northrop).  For a year with no huge open 400 guys, this could be a very fast relay year with a lot teams in the mix of the 3:18-3:19 range.  If the race stays clean, it could challenge that 3:16 mark. 

Teams to watch out for:  Bloomington North (3:23, big anchor leg), FW North Side (3:22), FW Concordia (3:23), SB Washington (3:22)

Prediction:

  1. Fort Wayne Northrop – 1st 3:18.70

  2. Fort Wayne Snider – 2nd 3:18.70

  3. Ben Davis – 1st 3:20.19

  4. Pike – 2nd 3:20.65

  5. Chesterton – 1st 3:21.41

  6. Center Grove – 1st 3:24.92

  7. Lawrence Central – 1st 3:21.72

  8. Valparaiso – 2nd 3:21.90

  9. Zionsville – 3:22.40

High Jump

I am by no means a pro when it comes to knowing this event, but the heights seemed very disappointing over the sectional round for this event.  Only 3 people exceeded the 6’6” mark to my knowledge.  I am hoping this is due to sub-par weather with rain and cold air.  Jonathan Christensen (Southmont) still found a way to perform at a high level, and Derrick Hill (Anderson Highland) as well.  We will see some 7’0” attempts at the state meet.

Others with big jumps last week:  Ryan Taylor (Lawrence North, 6’4”), Alvin Best (Portage, 6’4”), Austin Schultheis (Northeast Dubois, 6’3”)

Prediction:

  1.  Jonathan Christensen (Southmont) – 1st 6’10”

  2. Derrick Hill (Anderson Highland) – 1st 6’8”

  3. DeSean Prentice (Penn) – 1st 6’9”

  4. Taylor Caldwell (Harrison) – 1st 6’6”

  5. Ryan Helfert (Boonville) – 1st 6’5”

  6. Kody Galloway (Chesterton) – 1st 6’6”

  7. Lawrence Cotton (Anderson Highland) – 3rd 6’3”

  8. Shayne Cureton (Avon) – 1st 6’6”

  9. Matt Gerbick (Andrean) – WAITING ON RESULTS

Long Jump

Justin Boone (North Central) shows us why the long jump is such a fun event to watch.  Because with one, massive, jump, you can capture a title.  If Justin is able to hit the board like he did last week, he will put himself in a good position to challenge for the state title.  I still would keep a close eye on Brandon Muncie (Lawrence North), as the wildcats have worked with their jumpers in Bloomington many times.  This is a tough event to evaluate due to not knowing the weather conditions (direction of wind in relation to runway) and other outside factors.

Jumpers to watch:  John Perkins (Valparaiso, 21’9.25”), Michael Pattico (Northwood, 22’1.25”), Derek Chambers (North Knox, 22’2.5”), Tanne Foust (Fairfield, 22’4.75”), Nigel Spears (Westfield, 22’6”), Kody Galloway (Chesterton, 21’1.5”), Michael Perkins (Valparaiso, 21’8.25”), Damarien Smith (FW Wayne, 20’4”), Josiah Lemons (Richmond, 21’6”

Prediction:

  1.  Justin Boone (North Central) – 1st 23’1.5”

  2. Brandon Muncie (Lawrence North) – 2nd 22’8.5”

  3. Ray Beverly (Pike) – 1st 22’9”

  4. John Alsup (Kokomo) – 21’2.5”

  5. Dylan Anderson (Bloomington North) – 1st 22’00.5”

  6. Jake Dixon (Portage) – 1st 22’4”

  7. Jordan Jackson (Indiana Creek) – 22’3.5”

  8. Patrick Ellis (Shelbyville) – 1st 22’0.75”

  9. Eric Robinson (Warren Central) – 2nd 21’10”

Pole Vault

It appears that many vaulters stopped once they knew they were qualifying for the next round.  With that, it is hard to judge much based off of those performances, and many may have been due to the rain that swept across most of Indiana last Thursday.  Most of my picks are staying where they were before.

Prediction:

  1.  Michael Wanhainen (Castle) – 1st 13’6”

  2. Drew Volz (Bloomington South) – 1st 15’

  3. Owen Wagoner (FW Carroll) – 1st 15’2”

  4. Chase Payne (Homestead) – 1st 14’5”

  5. Kevin Jackson (Eastern) – 1st 15’

  6. Trevor Young (Southport) – 15’4”

  7. David Meza (Homestead) – 2nd 14’5”

  8. David Schipper (FW Dwenger) – 2nd 14’8”

  9. Byron Ferrell (Merrillville)

  10.  

Coach Nolting stands by his picks, but gives us a quick recap of what is happening out in the rings.

 

Men’s Shot Put (The Big 3 separate themselves from the field)


The 3 way battle remains tight between Gabe Hull, Kris Harley, and Jeremiah Zollman. All three competitors hit in the high 50s during the rain soaked sectional. With the good weather this week, we could see some big throws out of these guys. We could see someone push the state record by the state meet. Look for Hull and Zollman to battle as both meet at the Bloomington North Regional this Thursday. 


Predictions 
1. Gabe Hull – Bloomington South
2. Kris Harley – Warren Central
3. Jeremiah Zollman – BNL
4. Anthony Bradley – North Central
5. Leneil Hines – Plymouth
6. David Baker – Brownstown
7. Chris Fields – Evansville Harrison
8. David Raffin – Chesterton
9. Dominick Dean – Westfield

Men’s Discus (Not the runaway event one might think)
The big story from the discus was Bloomington South’s Gabe Hull hitting above 190 feet at the Bloomington North Sectional. The next closest competitors to Hull were South Bend Riley’s Elias Micozzi and Martinsville’s Justin Applegate both were around the 170 mark. It seemed that the rest of the field may have been affected by the rain as the distances around the state were lower than expected. Look for a better showing this week as the weather will be great. 

Predictions
1. Justin Applegate – Martinsville
2. Gabe Hull - Bloomington South
3. Geoff Getts – Garrett
4. Langston Newton – Carmel
5. Elias Micozzi – South Bend Riley
6. Jordan Beaver – Huntington North
7. Caleb Reiff – Zionsville
8. Dyrek Chowning - Warren Central
9. Ryan Frick – Lake Central

 

Team Race

The team race is still shaping up to be an interesting one.  However, the tournament format may be helping decide a champion as Fort Wayne Snider finally pulls away from the field.  I currently have them grabbing points in 7 events on the track.  However, they are in a lot of events where there will be crowded competition (relays and sprints).  Their mid-distance crew is helping set them apart from the rest of the field.

Meanwhile, the North Central regional will help filter out some of the teams chasing them.  Lawrence Central is scoring in 8 events, and was my pick last week.  However, they are also in a lot of the crowded events and can get bounced around.  They can make up big ground in the 110H.

North Central took a big shot last week with the 4x1 going down, but the long jumper stepped up to keep them in contention.  Ben Davis and Pike are also reeling, but are sprint heavy and would need to execute perfectly.

Other teams in the mix are more maxed out in their points and will likely end up in these areas.  Carmel is one that would have to continue to stretch the distance points out, and some help from their thrower.

Here is how it breaks down after my mock meet picks:

  1.  FW Snider – 46

  2. Lawrence Central – 41

  3. North Central – 37

  4. Carmel – 35

  5. Ben Davis – 33

  6. Bloomington South – 29

  7. Pike – 29

  8. Center Grove – 24

  9. Bloomington North – 23
  10. Warren Central - 22